Raf Yorumu: obey ☪︎ (@obey)

obey 10 months ago

Missiles, faith and politics: in the shadow of the red banner The pendulum is broken in the Middle East: the Iran-Israel war and after. The Middle East is once again reshaping in the shadow of history, in the midst of…devamıMissiles, faith and politics: in the shadow of the red banner The pendulum is broken in the Middle East: the Iran-Israel war and after. The Middle East is once again reshaping in the shadow of history, in the midst of missiles and discourses. The long-year tension between Iran and Israel seems to have been dragged to a point that is difficult to return with the latest developments. Now there are not only covert operations, nuclear rumors or symbolic messages; there are attacks directly touching the capitals, murdered generals and red flags hanging on the squares. so what does this new phase point to? Touching the capital The missiles exploding in Tehran, beyond contacting the nerve endings of a country, are declaration that the war will no longer be limited to the border regions. The targeting of high-ranking military names is a “shocking touch” to the Iranian administration. On the Israeli side, on the Israeli side, the inadequacy of defense systems and the unrest in the domestic public opinion once again show that technological superiority does not mean absolute security. This is the harbinger of a new era for both sides. Dominoes of the Middle East When a direct war breaks out between Iran and Israel, it is inevitable that this conflict will spread to the surrounding countries. The fact that Hezbollah in Lebanon rained rockets on Israel, Syria turned into a front, the activation of Shiite militias in Iraq or the sabotage of Yemen's energy roads is no longer a possibility, but part of the plans. and every point of conflict has the potential to shake global balances, not just locally. A show of power or the beginning of the collapse? Iran has been challenging the region with an ideological discourse for a long time, but the economic crisis at home, social unrest and anger towards the regime are growing. If the bill of the war becomes heavier, this time they may lose in the squares, not on the field. The same is true for Israel. People's psychology, which is under constant threat, combined with leadership crises, can lead to deeper wounds. Where does Turkey stand for this picture? For Turkey, this conflict has opportunities and risks together. On the one hand, there are direct effects such as energy security, migration waves and border security. On the other hand, there is also a possibility of increasing its diplomatic efficiency and strengthening its territorial leadership claim. However, this can only be possible with a neutral, consistent and principled foreign policy. Because the Middle East is no longer a game played with old cards; it is a table where everyone plays openly, but everyone bluffs at each other. It's not a world war, but a war that will change the world This conflict may not evolve into a world war in the classical sense, but its effects may be much more layered and long-lasting. energy crises, economic contractions, new alliances, internal migrations, digital manipulations and social radicalization can be the domino stones of this process. Some wars change borders, some change minds. The Iran-Israel war may do both. A new Middle East or a new world? Every great shock in the Middle East rebuilds not only maps, but also ways of thinking, foreign policy priorities and global economic balances. The Iran-Israel war is not just a reckoning between two states; it means the reconfrontation of ideologies, interests, beliefs and history. Whatever the consequences of this war, the Middle East will no longer be the old Middle East. And perhaps the world will never be the old world again.